Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.169119 0.181521 0.194438 0.208909 0.224689 0.241393 0.260440
2025-04-27 0.150856 0.169467 0.189933 0.214186 0.242241 0.273790 0.312117
2025-05-04 0.136938 0.158471 0.183012 0.213202 0.249552 0.292168 0.346294
2025-05-11 0.126030 0.149316 0.176618 0.211233 0.254291 0.306531 0.375391
2025-05-18 0.116871 0.141220 0.170459 0.208490 0.257138 0.317943 0.400743
2025-05-25 0.113191 0.139350 0.171486 0.214325 0.270625 0.343067 0.444932
2025-06-01 0.106314 0.132915 0.166215 0.211523 0.272439 0.352772 0.468883
2025-06-08 0.100584 0.127532 0.161855 0.209447 0.274798 0.362987 0.493806
2025-06-15 0.094110 0.120783 0.155267 0.203877 0.271873 0.365517 0.507675
2025-06-22 0.089580 0.116342 0.151452 0.201754 0.273418 0.374135 0.530618
2025-06-29 0.087077 0.114465 0.150939 0.204070 0.281211 0.391931 0.568180
2025-07-06 0.083032 0.110271 0.147009 0.201290 0.281392 0.398467 0.588811
2025-07-13 0.079740 0.107055 0.144396 0.200410 0.284525 0.409901 0.618476
2025-07-20 0.078589 0.106789 0.145924 0.205637 0.297083 0.436453 0.674474
2025-07-27 0.075650 0.103827 0.143419 0.204690 0.300080 0.448212 0.706906
2025-08-03 0.072660 0.100647 0.140430 0.202816 0.301448 0.457345 0.735418
2025-08-10 0.069672 0.097339 0.137092 0.200203 0.301435 0.464129 0.760215
2025-08-17 0.069109 0.097564 0.138992 0.205760 0.314785 0.493657 0.827448
2025-08-24 0.066417 0.094499 0.135787 0.203092 0.314485 0.500136 0.853299
2025-08-31 0.064067 0.091855 0.133108 0.201114 0.315178 0.508272 0.882722
2025-09-07 0.061035 0.088062 0.128508 0.195808 0.309947 0.505711 0.891528
2025-09-14 0.058964 0.085671 0.125993 0.193784 0.310192 0.512790 0.919417
2025-09-21 0.057994 0.084943 0.126049 0.195991 0.317837 0.533561 0.975913